CO-S-01-05

Sentiment–Price Divergence, Z-Score Method, SPD-Z

This indicator measures the degree of misalignment between market sentiment and price action. Sentiment Momentum and Log Return are each standardized into Z-Scores, and their difference is computed to identify short-term mean-reversion opportunities.

1. Computation Logic & Formulas

Sentiment Standardization (Sent_ZScore):

Log Return Calculation:

Price Standardization (Price_ZScore):

Final Output (SPD-Z):

2. Indicator Interpretation

SPD-Z captures the standard deviation between sentiment momentum and price movement.

SPD-Z Interval

Emotion - Price State

Market meaning

SPD_Z > 0(positive)

Sentiment is stronger than what prices justify.

Prices are relatively undervalued, the market is overly cautious, and there is a catch-up appreciation motive.

SPD_Z ≈ 0

Sentiment and price are aligned.

Emotions and prices are in sync, with no significant anomalies, indicating a neutral risk.

SPD_Z < 0(negative)

Sentiment lags price strength.

Prices are relatively overvalued, the market may be overly optimistic or overestimating the upward trend.

3. Application Recommendations

Calculate SPD-Z for each of the two assets separately

High SPD-Z → Relatively Undervalued

Low SPD-Z → Relatively Overvalued

Official Example

  • Parameter Suggestions

Project

Meaning

Suggested Value

Output variable

SPD_Z

Sent_Z − Ret_Z

Scrolling Window (W)

Z Score Statistics Window

30

  • Example Description

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